1. LigaMatchday 10

Plzen 3-0 Mlada Boleslav: prediction, tips and result

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Plzen
1-13-00-02-31-2
3-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Mlada Boleslav
2-00-34-02-11-1
Stadium:
Doosan Arena, Plzen
Referee:
Ondrej Berka

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

Other tips

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Lost67%

    referee Ondrej Berka averages 3.7 card points a match, league average 4.3; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Match Result: PlzenWon66%

    Plzen: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Offsides: Under 2.5Won70%

    1.7 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 1.5 in the visitors', league average 2.4; under 2.5 offsides in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (62% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Mlada Boleslav: Under 11.5Won58%

    our numbers for Mlada Boleslav: 11.0 fouls against a league average of 12.1

  • Shots on Target – Mlada Boleslav: Over 3.5Won60%

    Mlada Boleslav: 5.2 shots on target a match, Plzen's opponents had 4.1 on average, league average 3.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost46%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 8 (27% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPlzen172962%59%Draw20%23%Mlada Boleslav157518%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%59%O2.568%63%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Plzen2:1Mlada BoleslavW
  2. Mlada Boleslav0:5PlzenW
  3. Mlada Boleslav0:2PlzenW
  4. Plzen1:1Mlada BoleslavD
  5. Plzen3:0Mlada BoleslavW
Plzen's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 19
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.8under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 6
RefereeO. Berka−0.7 yellow cards vs average30 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 58% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.2total 3.5Attack/defence2.1 : 1.1total 3.2
Plzen : Mlada Boleslav
Most likely scores
Market2-110%1-19%2-08%1-06%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-110%2-02-08%2-09%1-01-06%1-08%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%82%82%
12 – no draw80%79%79%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals68%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes63%59%59%
1 – Plzen win62%61% · Elo 59%61%· Elo 59%
Under 3.5 goals54%59%59%
Over 3.5 goals46%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%39%39%
Both teams to score: no37%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals32%37%37%
X – draw20%21% · Elo 23%21%· Elo 23%
2 – Mlada Boleslav win18%18% · Elo 18%18%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals13%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Plzen attack vs Mlada Boleslav defenceattack1627defence1428+199 pts to the attack
Mlada Boleslav attack vs Plzen defenceattack1524defence1539−15 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.564%61%
8.551%45%
9.538%30%
10.527%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Plzenwe expect 4.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 60%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 23.5 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.555%56%
23.548%50%
24.541%45%
25.535%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Plzenwe expect 10.9, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 11.0, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 32%
Referee: 24.9 fouls per match on average (16 matches in our data)+2.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 1.9 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.557%66%
2.530%38%
3.513%20%
4.55%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Plzenwe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 21%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Plzen concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Mlada Boleslav matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Mlada Boleslav matches average 12.1 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Plzen: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mlada Boleslav: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Plzen: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mlada Boleslav: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Plzen

Mlada Boleslav

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Mlada Boleslav952217:1217
10Plzen1034320:1713
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav?

Plzen 3-0 Mlada Boleslav (half time 2-0).

Did the Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also