1. LigaMatchday 10

Teplice 1-1 Olomouc: prediction, tips and result

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Teplice
0-22-03-10-22-0
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Olomouc
0-33-23-00-13-1
Stadium:
AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Referee:
Dalibor Cerny

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won58%

referee Dalibor Cerny averages 3.4 yellow cards a match, league average 3.8; under 3.5 yellow cards in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (48% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Olomouc: Over 4.5Won57%

    Olomouc: 5.7 shots on target a match, Teplice's opponents had 5.3 on average, league average 3.8; our numbers for Olomouc: 5.2 shots on target against a league average of 3.8

  • Fouls: Over 24.5Lost57%

    referee Dalibor Cerny averages 27.9 fouls a match, league average 23.6; our numbers: 26.0 fouls against a league average of 23.6

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 2.5Won36%

referee Dalibor Cerny averages 3.4 yellow cards a match, league average 3.8; under 2.5 yellow cards in 2 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (30% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTeplice157236%42%Draw28%28%Olomouc158637%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%54%O2.551%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Teplice1:3OlomoucL
  2. Olomouc0:0TepliceD
  3. Teplice1:0OlomoucW
  4. Olomouc2:1TepliceL
  5. Teplice2:0OlomoucW
Teplice's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.8under 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 1
RefereeD. Cerny−0.6 yellow cards vs average36 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%X22:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.7
Teplice : Olomouc
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%2-18%0-18%1-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%1-28%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals71%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes56%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals51%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals49%50%50%
Both teams to score: no44%46%46%
2 – Olomouc win37%32% · Elo 30%32%· Elo 30%
1 – Teplice win36%41% · Elo 42%41%· Elo 42%
Over 3.5 goals29%28%28%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals24%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Teplice attack vs Olomouc defenceattack1469defence1489−20 pts to the attack
Olomouc attack vs Teplice defenceattack1525defence1477+48 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.566%61%
8.554%45%
9.541%30%
10.530%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Teplicewe expect 4.1, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Olomoucwe expect 5.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 73%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 26.0 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.570%56%
23.564%50%
24.557%44%
25.551%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Teplicewe expect 11.6, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Olomoucwe expect 11.8, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 40%
Referee: 27.9 fouls per match on average (17 matches in our data)+5.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.576%66%
2.552%38%
3.530%20%
4.515%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Teplicewe expect 1.6, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Olomoucwe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 35%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Olomouc matches average only 2.4 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Olomouc: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Teplice: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Teplice: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Olomouc: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Teplice

Olomouc

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Teplice1052318:1617
6Olomouc1052317:1417
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Teplice vs Olomouc?

Teplice 1-1 Olomouc (half time 0-1).

Did the Teplice vs Olomouc tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.

See also