1. LigaMatchday 9

Olomouc 0-3 Sparta Prague: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Andruv Stadion, Olomouc
Referee:
Karel Roucek

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won68%

2.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 4.1; under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (63% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won57%

    over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (52% of league matches)

  • Corners: Over 9.5Won55%

    9.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.2 in the visitors', league average 9.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOlomouc158631%28%Draw26%28%Sparta Prague176144%45%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%58%O2.557%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Olomouc0:1Sparta PragueL
  2. Sparta Prague1:0OlomoucL
  3. Sparta Prague1:1OlomoucD
  4. Olomouc1:2Sparta PragueL
  5. Sparta Prague2:3OlomoucW
Olomouc's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 68%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 2
RefereeK. Roucek−0.3 cards vs average31 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.8
Olomouc : Sparta Prague
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%0-17%2-17%1-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%2-18%1-08%0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-17%0-18%2-12-17%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%77%77%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%65%65%
Under 3.5 goals65%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes61%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals57%54%54%
2 – Sparta Prague win44%39% · Elo 45%39%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals43%46%46%
Both teams to score: no39%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals35%31%31%
1 – Olomouc win31%35% · Elo 28%35%· Elo 28%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Olomouc attack vs Sparta Prague defenceattack1529defence1577−48 pts to the attack
Sparta Prague attack vs Olomouc defenceattack1642defence1502+140 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Olomouc matches average only 2.4 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Olomouc score 2.3 goals per game
  • Olomouc: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sparta Prague matches average 12.1 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Olomouc: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Olomouc: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sparta Prague: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sparta Prague1060420:1218
6Olomouc1052317:1417
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Olomouc vs Sparta Prague?

Olomouc 0-3 Sparta Prague (half time 0-1).

Did the Olomouc vs Sparta Prague tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.