FNLMatchday 12
Usti nad Labem vs Karvina: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%O2.559%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Usti nad Labem1:3KarvinaL
- Karvina1:0Usti nad LabemL
- Karvina0:1Usti nad LabemW
- Usti nad Labem1:0KarvinaW
- Usti nad Labem2:1KarvinaW
Usti nad Labem's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.6total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.1
Usti nad Labem : KarvinaMost likely scores
Model1-110%2-19%1-28%1-06%2-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-08%2-07%2-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%1-01-06%1-08%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-27%2-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Usti nad Labem win | 41%47% · Elo 29% | 47%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Karvina win | 37%29% · Elo 44% | 29%· Elo 44% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
Attack vs defence
Usti nad Labem attack vs Karvina defenceattack1557defence1522+35 pts to the attack
Karvina attack vs Usti nad Labem defenceattack1559defence1506+53 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Karvina: newly promoted
- Usti nad Labem: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Karvina: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karvina | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:12 | 21 |
| 3 | Usti nad Labem | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Usti nad Labem vs Karvina?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Usti nad Labem win 41%, draw 22%, Karvina win 37%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Usti nad Labem vs Karvina?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Usti nad Labem 1.7, Karvina 1.6). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Usti nad Labem vs Karvina?
The FNL match kicks off 23 October 2026, 16:30 (UK time).