1. DivisionMatchday 11
Fredericia vs Hobro: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%52%O2.562%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Hobro1:4FredericiaW
- Fredericia1:1HobroD
- Fredericia0:1HobroL
- Hobro1:2FredericiaW
- Hobro0:2FredericiaW
Fredericia's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.2under 3.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.9total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Fredericia : HobroMost likely scores
Market1-19%1-09%2-011%2-110%3-09%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-09%2-19%3-0—0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%3-03-09%3-0—0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Fredericia win | 70%48% · Elo 65% | 48%· Elo 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%26% | 26% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%52% | 52% |
| X – draw | 18%26% · Elo 20% | 26%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Hobro win | 12%26% · Elo 14% | 26%· Elo 14% |
Attack vs defence
Fredericia attack vs Hobro defenceattack1537defence1495+42 pts to the attack
Hobro attack vs Fredericia defenceattack1430defence1527−97 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 9.4 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.559%53%
9.547%45%
10.535%37%
11.525%28%
Each team on its own
Fredericiawe expect 5.9, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 68%
Hobrowe expect 3.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 21.1 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.567%50%
19.560%45%
20.552%43%
21.545%40%
Each team on its own
Fredericiawe expect 9.6, league average 9.5 · chance of over 9.5: 48%
Hobrowe expect 11.8, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%62%
3.539%42%
4.521%28%
5.510%18%
Each team on its own
Fredericiawe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Hobrowe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Fredericia concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Fredericia: newly promoted
- Fredericia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Hobro: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fredericia | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hobro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fredericia vs Hobro?
Fredericia are the favourites. Chances: Fredericia win 70%, draw 18%, Hobro win 12%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Fredericia vs Hobro?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Fredericia 2.3, Hobro 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Fredericia vs Hobro?
The chance that both teams score is 53%.
When is Fredericia vs Hobro?
The 1. Division match kicks off 17 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).