1. DivisionMatchday 10

Hillerod 0-2 Fredericia: prediction, tips and result

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Hillerod
0-13-11-11-01-1
0-2Full time(half time 0-2)
Fredericia
2-20-01-01-20-0
Stadium:
Hillerød Stadion, Hilleroed

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost67%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 9.5Lost56%

    over 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost45%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHillerod130015%24%Draw18%26%Fredericia147267%50%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.567%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fredericia0:2HillerodW
  2. Hillerod0:3FredericiaL
  3. Hillerod1:1FredericiaD
  4. Fredericia3:2HillerodL
  5. Fredericia4:0HillerodL
Hillerod's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.2under 3.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)70%BTTS yes0:2coverageleague 60% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.4total 3.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Hillerod : Fredericia
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-210%0-29%1-0—2-1—0-1—1-38%0-37%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-28%0-2—1-09%2-18%0-18%1-3—0-3—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-113%1-21-210%1-28%0-20-29%0-2—1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-18%0-10-1—0-18%1-31-38%1-3—0-30-37%0-3—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat85%62%62%
12 – no draw82%74%74%
2 – Fredericia win67%36% · Elo 50%36%· Elo 50%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals67%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals55%70%70%
Over 3.5 goals45%30%30%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals33%48%48%
1X – home team avoid defeat33%64%64%
X – draw18%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
1 – Hillerod win15%38% · Elo 24%38%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals14%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Hillerod attack vs Fredericia defenceattack1508defence1519−11 pts to the attack
Fredericia attack vs Hillerod defenceattack1529defence1496+33 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 9.4 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.559%54%
9.547%45%
10.535%38%
11.525%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hillerodwe expect 4.0, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Fredericiawe expect 5.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 64%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 19.9 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.558%48%
19.551%43%
20.543%43%
21.536%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hillerodwe expect 9.1, league average 9.2 · chance of over 9.5: 43%
Fredericiawe expect 10.8, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.553%59%
3.531%41%
4.516%27%
5.57%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hillerodwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Fredericiawe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fredericia: newly promoted
  • Hillerod: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Fredericia: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Hillerod

Fredericia

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Fredericia1045114:617
11Hillerod1023513:169
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Hillerod vs Fredericia?

Hillerod 0-2 Fredericia (half time 0-2).

Did the Hillerod vs Fredericia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.

See also