1. DivisionMatchday 7

HB Koege 1-1 Hillerod: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Koege Stadium, Koege

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost63%

1.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 3.3; under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost41%

under 2.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 6 (34% of league matches); 1.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 3.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHB Koege123639%29%Draw26%27%Hillerod130034%44%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%56%O2.558%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. HB Koege1:1HillerodD
  2. Hillerod3:1HB KoegeL
  3. Hillerod3:0HB KoegeL
  4. HB Koege0:2HillerodL
  5. HB Koege1:5HillerodL
HB Koege's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
HB Koege : Hillerod
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%0-16%1-28%1-07%0-2—Attack/defence1-112%2-18%0-19%1-29%1-08%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-18%0-10-16%0-19%1-21-28%1-29%1-01-07%1-08%0-20-2—0-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%77%77%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals65%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes61%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals58%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals42%48%48%
1 – HB Koege win39%33% · Elo 29%33%· Elo 29%
Both teams to score: no39%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals35%30%30%
2 – Hillerod win34%41% · Elo 44%41%· Elo 44%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals19%23%23%
Attack vs defence
HB Koege attack vs Hillerod defenceattack1429defence1490−61 pts to the attack
Hillerod attack vs HB Koege defenceattack1522defence1446+76 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hillerod concede 2.1 goals per game
  • HB Koege score only 0.7 goals per game
  • HB Koege: no win in 8 matches
  • HB Koege: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Hillerod: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8HB Koege1024413:1710
11Hillerod1023513:169
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of HB Koege vs Hillerod?

HB Koege 1-1 Hillerod (half time 0-1).

Did the HB Koege vs Hillerod tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.