SuperligaMatchday 3

Aarhus 0-2 Midtjylland: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus
Referee:
Jakob A Sundberg

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost63%

goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAarhus170631%27%Draw26%28%Midtjylland187543%46%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%60%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarhus0:0MidtjyllandD
  2. Midtjylland2:1AarhusL
  3. Midtjylland1:1AarhusD
  4. Aarhus0:0MidtjyllandD
  5. Midtjylland3:1AarhusL
Aarhus's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.5over 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. A Sundberg+0.2 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Aarhus : Midtjylland
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-17%2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%2-06%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-17%2-02-0—2-06%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%59%59%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes63%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals62%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals61%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%66%66%
2 – Midtjylland win43%34% · Elo 46%34%· Elo 46%
Under 2.5 goals39%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals38%35%35%
Both teams to score: no37%40%40%
1 – Aarhus win31%41% · Elo 27%41%· Elo 27%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Aarhus attack vs Midtjylland defenceattack1568defence1565+3 pts to the attack
Midtjylland attack vs Aarhus defenceattack1596defence1556+40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Midtjylland concede a lot late on: 10 of 23 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Aarhus played 3 days ago
  • Midtjylland played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Midtjylland1064019:1022
10Aarhus1015414:178
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aarhus vs Midtjylland?

Aarhus 0-2 Midtjylland (half time 0-1).

Did the Aarhus vs Midtjylland tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.