SuperligaMatchday 9

Horsens 2-2 Aarhus: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
CASA Arena, Horsens
Referee:
Jonas Hansen

The match in numbers

1X2EloHorsens146723%18%Draw24%24%Aarhus170653%57%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%59%O2.556%57%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarhus2:0HorsensL
  2. Horsens2:1AarhusW
  3. Horsens1:2AarhusL
  4. Aarhus3:0HorsensL
  5. Horsens1:2AarhusL
Horsens's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.5under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 71% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Hansen+0.2 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.7total 3.0
Horsens : Aarhus
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%2-1—1-0—0-06%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-18%0-27%2-17%1-06%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-18%0-20-29%0-27%2-12-1—2-17%1-01-0—1-06%0-00-06%0-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%80%80%
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%71%71%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals67%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes57%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals56%57%57%
2 – Aarhus win53%47% · Elo 57%47%· Elo 57%
1X – home team avoid defeat47%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals44%43%43%
Both teams to score: no43%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals33%35%35%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
1 – Horsens win23%29% · Elo 18%29%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals20%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Horsens attack vs Aarhus defenceattack1431defence1540−109 pts to the attack
Aarhus attack vs Horsens defenceattack1553defence1414+139 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aarhus: no win in 8 matches
  • Horsens: newly promoted
  • Horsens: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Aarhus: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Horsens1033418:1912
10Aarhus1015414:178
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Horsens vs Aarhus?

Horsens 2-2 Aarhus (half time 0-0).