SuperligaMatchday 11
Horsens vs Randers FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%58%O2.553%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Horsens5:1Randers FCW
- Randers FC1:0HorsensL
- Randers FC3:0HorsensL
- Horsens0:3Randers FCL
- Randers FC0:3HorsensW
Horsens's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Horsens : Randers FCMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%2-18%1-07%0-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-18%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%0-10-18%0-18%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%42% | 42% |
| 2 – Randers FC win | 40%35% · Elo 43% | 35%· Elo 43% |
| 1 – Horsens win | 34%39% · Elo 29% | 39%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Horsens attack vs Randers FC defenceattack1445defence1486−41 pts to the attack
Randers FC attack vs Horsens defenceattack1428defence1410+18 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 8.9 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.553%53%
9.540%41%
10.529%34%
11.520%24%
Each team on its own
Horsenswe expect 5.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 44%
Randers FCwe expect 3.6, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 29%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 21.9 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.565%57%
20.558%51%
21.551%39%
22.544%33%
Each team on its own
Horsenswe expect 11.6, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Randers FCwe expect 10.4, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%80%
2.556%54%
3.534%34%
4.518%18%
Each team on its own
Horsenswe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 57%
Randers FCwe expect 1.0, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Horsens: newly promoted
- Horsens: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Randers FC: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Horsens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Horsens vs Randers FC?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Horsens win 34%, draw 27%, Randers FC win 40%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Horsens vs Randers FC?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Horsens 1.3, Randers FC 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Horsens vs Randers FC?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Horsens vs Randers FC?
The Superliga match kicks off 16 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).