SuperligaMatchday 10

Silkeborg 3-3 Horsens: prediction, tips and result

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Silkeborg
1-31-12-21-14-0
3-3Full time(half time 0-2)
Horsens
2-20-25-22-32-1
Stadium:
JYSK Park, Silkeborg
Referee:
Jakob Kehlet

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Lost58%

referee Jakob Kehlet averages 3.1 card points a match, league average 3.6; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon57%

    goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (61% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Horsens: Over 11.5Won63%

    our numbers for Horsens: 13.1 fouls against a league average of 10.6; Horsens: 15.2 fouls a match, Silkeborg's opponents committed 11.2 on average, league average 10.6

  • Offsides – Silkeborg: Under 1.5Won57%

    Silkeborg: 1.3 offsides a match, Horsens's opponents were caught offside 1.2 times on average, league average 1.6

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost37%

referee Jakob Kehlet averages 3.1 card points a match, league average 3.6; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSilkeborg160547%57%Draw27%24%Horsens146726%19%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%60%O2.553%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Horsens0:1SilkeborgW
  2. Silkeborg1:2HorsensL
  3. Horsens3:2SilkeborgL
  4. Silkeborg2:1HorsensW
  5. Horsens2:1SilkeborgL
Silkeborg's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 4
RefereeJ. Kehlet−0.7 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)67%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 70% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Silkeborg : Horsens
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%0-07%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%0-0—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-09%1-08%2-02-08%2-07%0-00-07%0-0—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%72%72%
12 – no draw73%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals69%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes57%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals53%58%58%
1 – Silkeborg win47%48% · Elo 57%48%· Elo 57%
Under 2.5 goals47%42%42%
Both teams to score: no43%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals31%36%36%
X – draw27%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
2 – Horsens win26%28% · Elo 19%28%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals22%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Silkeborg attack vs Horsens defenceattack1468defence1415+53 pts to the attack
Horsens attack vs Silkeborg defenceattack1437defence1449−12 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 8.9 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.553%53%
9.541%41%
10.529%34%
11.520%23%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Silkeborgwe expect 4.6, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Horsenswe expect 4.2, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 22.2 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.567%57%
20.560%50%
21.553%39%
22.546%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Silkeborgwe expect 8.4, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 24%
Horsenswe expect 13.1, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 73%
Referee: 20.9 fouls per match on average (12 matches in our data)+2.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 59%close to the league averageunder 42%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.580%81%
2.559%54%
3.537%34%
4.520%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Silkeborgwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Horsenswe expect 1.6, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 45%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Horsens score a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Horsens: newly promoted
  • Silkeborg: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Horsens: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Silkeborg

Horsens

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Horsens1033418:1912
7Silkeborg1025315:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Silkeborg vs Horsens?

Silkeborg 3-3 Horsens (half time 0-2).

Did the Silkeborg vs Horsens tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5. The tip lost.

See also