ChampionshipMatchday 8

Portsmouth 2-2 Blackburn: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Referee:
John Busby

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost57%

referee John Busby averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 3.9

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost39%

referee John Busby averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPortsmouth152243%40%Draw28%28%Blackburn154429%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.545%43%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Blackburn1:1PortsmouthD
  2. Portsmouth2:1BlackburnW
  3. Portsmouth1:0BlackburnW
  4. Blackburn3:0PortsmouthL
  5. Portsmouth1:2BlackburnL
Portsmouth's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.9over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 3
RefereeJ. Busby+0.5 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.4
Portsmouth : Blackburn
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-09%0-18%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%0-19%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%0-00-09%0-09%0-10-18%0-19%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals76%78%78%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals72%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals55%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes51%49%49%
Both teams to score: no49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals45%43%43%
1 – Portsmouth win43%43% · Elo 40%43%· Elo 40%
2 – Blackburn win29%29% · Elo 32%29%· Elo 32%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals28%31%31%
Over 3.5 goals24%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Portsmouth attack vs Blackburn defenceattack1465defence1512−47 pts to the attack
Blackburn attack vs Portsmouth defenceattack1432defence1487−55 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Blackburn1043315:1315
20Portsmouth82249:118
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Portsmouth vs Blackburn?

Portsmouth 2-2 Blackburn (half time 1-1).

Did the Portsmouth vs Blackburn tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.