ChampionshipMatchday 4
Portsmouth 0-2 Derby: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Fratton Park, Portsmouth
- Referee:
- Sam Allison
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%55%O2.548%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Portsmouth0:1DerbyL
- Derby1:1PortsmouthD
- Portsmouth2:2DerbyD
- Derby4:0PortsmouthL
- Portsmouth2:2DerbyD
Portsmouth's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 3
RefereeS. Allison0.0 cards vs average25 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Portsmouth : DerbyMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%2-07%0-0—0-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-011%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-07%0-00-08%0-0—0-10-1—0-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Portsmouth win | 46%42% · Elo 38% | 42%· Elo 38% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Derby win | 26%31% · Elo 34% | 31%· Elo 34% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%25% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Portsmouth attack vs Derby defenceattack1483defence1484−1 pts to the attack
Derby attack vs Portsmouth defenceattack1501defence1476+25 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Derby: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Portsmouth: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Portsmouth played 3 days ago
- Derby played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Portsmouth vs Derby?
Portsmouth 0-2 Derby (half time 0-1).