ChampionshipMatchday 7

Blackburn 3-1 Millwall: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Referee:
Josh Smith

The match in numbers

1X2EloBlackburn154438%31%Draw29%28%Millwall162233%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%48%O2.546%41%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Millwall1:2BlackburnW
  2. Blackburn2:0MillwallW
  3. Blackburn4:1MillwallW
  4. Millwall1:0BlackburnL
  5. Blackburn1:1MillwallD
Blackburn's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 8
RefereeJ. Smith+0.2 cards vs average33 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.3
Blackburn : Millwall
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-19%1-010%0-09%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-114%0-111%1-011%0-010%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-10-19%0-111%1-01-010%1-011%0-00-09%0-010%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals75%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals73%67%67%
12 – no draw71%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%65%65%
Under 2.5 goals54%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes52%48%48%
Both teams to score: no48%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals46%41%41%
1 – Blackburn win38%35% · Elo 31%35%· Elo 31%
2 – Millwall win33%36% · Elo 41%36%· Elo 41%
X – draw29%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals27%33%33%
Over 3.5 goals25%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Blackburn attack vs Millwall defenceattack1423defence1553−130 pts to the attack
Millwall attack vs Blackburn defenceattack1516defence1512+4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Blackburn1043315:1315
10Millwall1042416:1614
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Blackburn vs Millwall?

Blackburn 3-1 Millwall (half time 1-0).