ChampionshipMatchday 3
Southampton 5-1 Millwall: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
- Referee:
- Adam Herczeg
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%53%O2.558%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Southampton0:0MillwallD
- Millwall3:2SouthamptonL
- Southampton1:2MillwallL
- Millwall0:1SouthamptonW
- Millwall2:3SouthamptonW
Southampton's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.5over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 19
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 3
RefereeA. Herczeg0.0 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.7
Southampton : MillwallMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-1—0-0—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-27%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%73% | 73% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Southampton win | 48%45% · Elo 48% | 45%· Elo 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Millwall win | 26%28% · Elo 26% | 28%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Southampton attack vs Millwall defenceattack1593defence1576+17 pts to the attack
Millwall attack vs Southampton defenceattack1516defence1530−14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Southampton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Millwall concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Southampton: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Millwall: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Southampton
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Southampton vs Millwall?
Southampton 5-1 Millwall (half time 2-1).