ChampionshipMatchday 2
Southampton 3-1 Stoke: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
- Referee:
- Steve Martin
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%52%O2.556%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Stoke0:2SouthamptonW
- Southampton1:2StokeL
- Southampton0:1StokeL
- Stoke0:1SouthamptonW
- Southampton0:0StokeD
Southampton's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 8
RefereeS. Martinfirst match in our data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.7
Southampton : StokeMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-010%2-010%2-110%3-07%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%3-0—0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-07%3-0—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%71% | 71% |
| 1 – Southampton win | 60%55% · Elo 65% | 55%· Elo 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 20% | 24%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Stoke win | 18%21% · Elo 14% | 21%· Elo 14% |
Attack vs defence
Southampton attack vs Stoke defenceattack1586defence1475+111 pts to the attack
Stoke attack vs Southampton defenceattack1438defence1528−90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Southampton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Stoke: 5 defeats in a row
- Stoke: only 4 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Southampton: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Stoke: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Southampton
Stoke
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stoke | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Southampton vs Stoke?
Southampton 3-1 Stoke (half time 1-1).