ChampionshipMatchday 4
Millwall 0-3 Wrexham: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- The Den, London
- Referee:
- Oliver Langford
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%53%O2.544%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Wrexham0:2MillwallW
- Millwall0:2WrexhamL
Millwall's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.9league 10.5over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 3
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.9under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 3
RefereeO. Langford−0.3 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.6
Millwall : WrexhamMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%2-19%0-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%0-08%2-19%0-17%2-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-011%1-011%0-00-010%0-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-19%0-17%2-02-0—2-09%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 77%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Millwall win | 42%48% · Elo 52% | 48%· Elo 52% |
| X – draw | 29%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Wrexham win | 29%26% · Elo 23% | 26%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29%26% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Millwall attack vs Wrexham defenceattack1517defence1488+29 pts to the attack
Wrexham attack vs Millwall defenceattack1513defence1555−42 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Millwall matches average 13.0 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Millwall: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Wrexham: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Millwall vs Wrexham?
Millwall 0-3 Wrexham (half time 0-1).