ChampionshipMatchday 5
Millwall 4-0 Bolton: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- The Den, London
- Referee:
- Will Finnie
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%51%O2.551%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bolton2:1MillwallL
- Millwall1:1BoltonD
- Bolton0:2MillwallW
- Millwall1:1BoltonD
- Bolton2:0MillwallL
Millwall's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeW. Finnie−0.2 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.5
Millwall : BoltonMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Millwall win | 49%46% · Elo 61% | 46%· Elo 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 22% | 27%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – Bolton win | 24%27% · Elo 17% | 27%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Millwall attack vs Bolton defenceattack1504defence1502+2 pts to the attack
Bolton attack vs Millwall defenceattack1497defence1548−51 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bolton: newly promoted
- Millwall played 3 days ago
- Bolton: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Millwall vs Bolton?
Millwall 4-0 Bolton (half time 1-0).