ChampionshipMatchday 3

Watford 1-1 West Ham: prediction, tips and result

·

1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Vicarage Road, Watford
Referee:
Robert Madley

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost62%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6; over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost40%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWatford148522%10%Draw23%16%West Ham190654%73%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%55%O2.562%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. West Ham1:0WatfordL
  2. Watford1:4West HamL
  3. West Ham3:1WatfordL
  4. Watford1:3West HamL
  5. Watford1:4West HamL
Watford's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeR. Madley+0.2 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.0total 3.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Watford : West Ham
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%1-0—2-1—0-17%0-28%0-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-18%0-2—0-07%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-10-17%0-18%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-0—0-07%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%59%59%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals62%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes61%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals60%72%72%
2 – West Ham win54%33% · Elo 73%33%· Elo 73%
1X – home team avoid defeat45%68%68%
Over 3.5 goals40%28%28%
Both teams to score: no39%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals38%50%50%
X – draw23%27% · Elo 16%27%· Elo 16%
1 – Watford win22%41% · Elo 10%41%· Elo 10%
Under 1.5 goals16%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Watford attack vs West Ham defenceattack1469defence1485−16 pts to the attack
West Ham attack vs Watford defenceattack1512defence1478+34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Watford concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Watford matches average 5.4 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Watford score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Watford: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • West Ham: newly promoted
  • Watford: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • West Ham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5West Ham944123:1216
22Watford102268:198
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Watford vs West Ham?

Watford 1-1 West Ham (half time 1-1).

Did the Watford vs West Ham tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.