ChampionshipMatchday 3

Wolves 4-1 Stoke: prediction, tips and result

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4-1Full time(half time 2-1)
Stadium:
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Referee:
Tom Nield

The match in numbers

1X2EloWolves181260%77%Draw22%14%Stoke153217%9%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%52%O2.554%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Stoke2:1WolvesL
  2. Wolves1:2StokeL
  3. Stoke3:0WolvesL
  4. Wolves2:1StokeW
  5. Wolves0:0StokeD
Wolves's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeT. Nield−0.1 cards vs average25 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.9total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Wolves : Stoke
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-011%1-010%2-110%0-0—0-1—3-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-09%1-011%2-110%0-08%0-17%3-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-02-011%2-09%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%3-03-07%3-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals79%74%74%
12 – no draw77%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals68%73%73%
1 – Wolves win60%50% · Elo 77%50%· Elo 77%
Over 2.5 goals54%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes52%52%52%
Both teams to score: no48%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals46%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals32%27%27%
X – draw22%26% · Elo 14%26%· Elo 14%
Under 1.5 goals21%26%26%
2 – Stoke win17%24% · Elo 9%24%· Elo 9%
Attack vs defence
Wolves attack vs Stoke defenceattack1522defence1467+55 pts to the attack
Stoke attack vs Wolves defenceattack1438defence1496−58 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stoke concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Stoke: 6 defeats in a row
  • Stoke: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Wolves: newly promoted
  • Wolves: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Stoke: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Stoke1051417:1616
9Wolves942316:1414
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wolves vs Stoke?

Wolves 4-1 Stoke (half time 2-1).