League OneMatchday 12
Doncaster vs Stockport: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 6d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.552%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Stockport4:2DoncasterL
- Doncaster0:2StockportL
- Doncaster1:5StockportL
- Stockport1:0DoncasterL
- Stockport0:0DoncasterD
Doncaster's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.7total 3.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.8
Doncaster : StockportMost likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-29%0-27%1-0—2-17%Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%0-27%1-07%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-17%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-27%0-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-12-17%2-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 54%56% | 56% |
| 2 – Stockport win | 46%44% · Elo 48% | 44%· Elo 48% |
| 1 – Doncaster win | 29%30% · Elo 26% | 30%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
Attack vs defence
Doncaster attack vs Stockport defenceattack1431defence1540−109 pts to the attack
Stockport attack vs Doncaster defenceattack1619defence1496+123 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 6.8 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.551%61%
7.537%43%
8.525%30%
9.516%17%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 3.0, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Stockportwe expect 3.5, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 18.5 · 72%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 28%
We expect 16.0 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.535%56%
18.528%53%
19.522%53%
20.516%51%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 7.8, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 38%
Stockportwe expect 7.8, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 27%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%60%
3.543%43%
4.525%23%
5.513%14%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Stockportwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 57%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Doncaster played 3 days ago
- Stockport played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stockport | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | 16 |
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Doncaster vs Stockport?
Stockport are the favourites. Chances: Doncaster win 29%, draw 25%, Stockport win 46%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Doncaster vs Stockport?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Doncaster 1.3, Stockport 1.7). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Doncaster vs Stockport?
The League One match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).