League OneMatchday 10
Doncaster 1-0 Burton: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost59%
under 10.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (55% of league matches)
For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost47%
under 9.5 corners in 2 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (43% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%52%O2.552%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Burton1:2DoncasterW
- Doncaster1:1BurtonD
- Doncaster2:0BurtonW
- Burton2:0DoncasterL
- Doncaster0:3BurtonL
Doncaster's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.3under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)68%11:1coverageleague 55% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.5
Doncaster : BurtonMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-08%2-19%0-19%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%0-00-07%0-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%75% | 75% |
| 1 – Doncaster win | 57%42% · Elo 39% | 42%· Elo 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 23%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%28% | 28% |
| 2 – Burton win | 19%31% · Elo 34% | 31%· Elo 34% |
Attack vs defence
Doncaster attack vs Burton defenceattack1436defence1483−47 pts to the attack
Burton attack vs Doncaster defenceattack1453defence1484−31 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 7.1 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.556%61%
7.541%44%
8.529%29%
9.519%16%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 3.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Burtonwe expect 3.2, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 20.4 in this match, 18.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.569%56%
18.562%53%
19.555%53%
20.547%52%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 10.6, league average 9.0 · chance of over 9.5: 60%
Burtonwe expect 10.0, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.556%56%
3.534%39%
4.517%23%
5.58%14%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Burtonwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Burton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Burton matches average only 8.3 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Burton concede a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Doncaster: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Burton: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Doncaster vs Burton?
Doncaster 1-0 Burton (half time 1-0).
Did the Doncaster vs Burton tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.