League OneMatchday 6

Oxford 3-0 Burton: prediction, tips and result

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3-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Kassam Stadium, Oxford

The match in numbers

1X2EloOxford150651%63%Draw26%21%Burton130123%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.554%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Burton0:4OxfordW
  2. Oxford3:0BurtonW
  3. Burton2:0OxfordL
  4. Oxford2:1BurtonW
  5. Oxford4:1BurtonW
Oxford's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Oxford : Burton
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-09%2-09%0-07%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-010%2-08%0-0—0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-09%1-010%2-02-09%2-08%0-00-07%0-0—0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%74%74%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes56%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals54%53%53%
1 – Oxford win51%48% · Elo 63%48%· Elo 63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals46%47%47%
Both teams to score: no44%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals32%31%31%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 21%25%· Elo 21%
2 – Burton win23%27% · Elo 16%27%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals22%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Oxford attack vs Burton defenceattack1529defence1506+23 pts to the attack
Burton attack vs Oxford defenceattack1458defence1507−49 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Burton matches average only 7.3 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Burton concede a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Oxford: newly promoted
  • Oxford: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Burton: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Oxford742115:814
10Burton1033414:1612
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Oxford vs Burton?

Oxford 3-0 Burton (half time 0-0).