League OneMatchday 5

Burton 2-2 Cambridge: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

The match in numbers

1X2EloBurton130133%45%Draw29%27%Cambridge130338%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%55%O2.544%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Burton2:1CambridgeW
  2. Cambridge1:0BurtonL
  3. Cambridge0:0BurtonD
  4. Burton2:1CambridgeW
  5. Burton1:0CambridgeW
Burton's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Burton : Cambridge
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%0-010%1-09%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-18%0-07%1-010%2-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-110%0-18%0-00-010%0-07%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%72%72%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals71%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals56%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes50%55%55%
Both teams to score: no50%45%45%
Over 2.5 goals44%50%50%
2 – Cambridge win38%32% · Elo 28%32%· Elo 28%
1 – Burton win33%41% · Elo 45%41%· Elo 45%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals29%25%25%
Over 3.5 goals23%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Burton attack vs Cambridge defenceattack1453defence1502−49 pts to the attack
Cambridge attack vs Burton defenceattack1508defence1512−4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Burton matches average only 7.3 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Burton concede a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Cambridge: newly promoted
  • Burton played 3 days ago
  • Cambridge: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Cambridge944114:1116
10Burton1033414:1612
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Burton vs Cambridge?

Burton 2-2 Cambridge (half time 1-1).