League OneMatchday 4
Burton 4-1 AFC Wimbledon: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost57%
under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.543%46%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Burton1:0AFC WimbledonW
- AFC Wimbledon0:1BurtonW
- Burton1:1AFC WimbledonD
- AFC Wimbledon1:1BurtonD
- AFC Wimbledon0:1BurtonW
Burton's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 2
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Burton : AFC WimbledonMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%2-18%0-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-19%0-18%2-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-19%0-18%2-02-0—2-09%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%52% | 52% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 57%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Burton win | 39%48% · Elo 50% | 48%· Elo 50% |
| 2 – AFC Wimbledon win | 32%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Burton attack vs AFC Wimbledon defenceattack1431defence1448−17 pts to the attack
AFC Wimbledon attack vs Burton defenceattack1403defence1509−106 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- AFC Wimbledon score only 0.3 goals per game
- Burton matches average only 7.6 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Burton concede a lot late on: 9 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- AFC Wimbledon played 3 days ago
- Burton: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Burton vs AFC Wimbledon?
Burton 4-1 AFC Wimbledon (half time 2-1).
Did the Burton vs AFC Wimbledon tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.