League OneMatchday 7

Burton 2-2 Mansfield: prediction, tips and result

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Burton
2-11-24-12-20-3
2-2Full time(half time 2-1)
Mansfield
0-00-10-55-21-2
Stadium:
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won61%

7.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 10.3; under 10.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (55% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon56%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won49%

under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (44% of league matches); 7.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 10.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBurton130137%36%Draw28%28%Mansfield136636%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%54%O2.551%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mansfield0:0BurtonD
  2. Burton2:1MansfieldW
  3. Burton1:1MansfieldD
  4. Mansfield3:3BurtonD
  5. Burton2:1MansfieldW
Burton's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.3under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Burton : Mansfield
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-18%2-18%1-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-19%2-19%1-28%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-09%0-10-18%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals71%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes56%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals51%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals49%50%50%
Both teams to score: no44%46%46%
1 – Burton win37%39% · Elo 36%39%· Elo 36%
2 – Mansfield win36%35% · Elo 37%35%· Elo 37%
Over 3.5 goals29%28%28%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals24%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Burton attack vs Mansfield defenceattack1447defence1517−70 pts to the attack
Mansfield attack vs Burton defenceattack1505defence1491+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Burton matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Burton matches average only 7.4 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Mansfield: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Burton concede a lot late on: 12 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Burton: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mansfield: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Burton

Mansfield

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Burton1033414:1612
14Mansfield832312:1411
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Burton vs Mansfield?

Burton 2-2 Mansfield (half time 2-1).

Did the Burton vs Mansfield tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.

See also