League OneMatchday 9

Burton 1-3 Huddersfield: prediction, tips and result

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Burton
4-12-20-32-21-0
1-3Full time(half time 1-2)
Huddersfield
1-20-01-13-12-1
Stadium:
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%

7.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.1 in the visitors', league average 10.3; under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (55% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon55%

    goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (56% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Huddersfield: Over 3.5Won62%

    our numbers for Huddersfield: 4.4 shots on target against a league average of 3.5; Huddersfield: 5.8 shots on target a match, Burton's opponents had 3.6 on average, league average 3.5

  • Fouls – Burton: Over 9.5Lost64%

    our numbers for Burton: 11.1 fouls against a league average of 9.1; Burton: 10.5 fouls a match, Huddersfield's opponents committed 12.6 on average, league average 9.1

  • Offsides – Huddersfield: Under 1.5Won61%

    Huddersfield: under 1.5 offsides in 5 of their last 5 league matches, Burton's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 6 of 8 (55% of league matches); 0.8 offsides a match, Burton's opponents were caught offside 1.5 times on average, league average 1.8

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost50%

under 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (43% of league matches); 7.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.1 in the visitors', league average 10.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBurton130123%35%Draw25%28%Huddersfield138953%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.554%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Burton3:1HuddersfieldW
  2. Huddersfield0:0BurtonD
  3. Burton3:0HuddersfieldW
  4. Huddersfield1:1BurtonD
  5. Huddersfield0:1BurtonW
Burton's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.3under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)66%BTTS yes0:1coverageleague 61% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.7
Burton : Huddersfield
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%1-0—2-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%0-19%0-2—1-09%2-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-210%1-28%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-29%0-2—1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-18%0-00-07%0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat78%63%63%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals68%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes56%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals54%51%51%
2 – Huddersfield win53%37% · Elo 37%37%· Elo 37%
1X – home team avoid defeat48%63%63%
Under 2.5 goals46%49%49%
Both teams to score: no44%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals32%29%29%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
1 – Burton win23%37% · Elo 35%37%· Elo 35%
Under 1.5 goals21%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Burton attack vs Huddersfield defenceattack1456defence1514−58 pts to the attack
Huddersfield attack vs Burton defenceattack1556defence1499+57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.560%62%
7.546%43%
8.533%28%
9.522%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Burtonwe expect 3.2, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Huddersfieldwe expect 4.4, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 73%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 27%over
We expect 22.2 in this match, 18.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
17.579%57%
18.573%55%
19.567%55%
20.560%53%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Burtonwe expect 11.1, league average 9.1 · chance of over 9.5: 64%
Huddersfieldwe expect 11.6, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 69%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.551%57%
3.529%40%
4.514%23%
5.56%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Burtonwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Huddersfieldwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 39%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Burton matches average only 7.1 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Burton concede a lot late on: 10 of 23 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Burton: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Huddersfield: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Burton

Huddersfield

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Huddersfield944116:916
10Burton1033414:1612
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Burton vs Huddersfield?

Burton 1-3 Huddersfield (half time 1-2).

Did the Burton vs Huddersfield tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.

See also