League OneMatchday 8
Plymouth 0-1 Burton: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Home Park, Plymouth
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (53% of league matches)
Other tips
- Match Result: PlymouthLost64%
Plymouth: 3 league wins in a row
- Cards: Under 4.5Lost67%
under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (65% of league matches)
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%58%O2.560%60%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Plymouth3:0BurtonW
- Burton0:4PlymouthW
- Plymouth1:0BurtonW
- Burton2:2PlymouthD
- Burton0:0PlymouthD
Plymouth's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.3over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)74%11:1coverageleague 56% · H2H 3/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.0total 3.2Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.1
Plymouth : BurtonMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-010%2-110%1-09%3-07%3-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-09%2-110%1-09%3-0—3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-09%1-09%3-03-07%3-0—3-13-1—3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%78% | 78% |
| 1 – Plymouth win | 64%56% · Elo 59% | 56%· Elo 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%63% | 63% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 60%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%42% | 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%37% | 37% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 35%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 23% | 22%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%19% | 19% |
| 2 – Burton win | 15%21% · Elo 19% | 21%· Elo 19% |
Attack vs defence
Plymouth attack vs Burton defenceattack1618defence1481+137 pts to the attack
Burton attack vs Plymouth defenceattack1456defence1504−48 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Burton matches average only 7.2 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Burton concede a lot late on: 12 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Plymouth: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Burton: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 10 | Burton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Plymouth vs Burton?
Plymouth 0-1 Burton (half time 0-0).
Did the Plymouth vs Burton tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.