League OneMatchday 11
Leicester vs Doncaster: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%52%O2.561%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Leicester1:0DoncasterW
- Doncaster1:0LeicesterL
- Leicester4:0DoncasterW
- Doncaster2:1LeicesterL
- Doncaster1:1LeicesterD
Leicester's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.5over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.3total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Leicester : DoncasterMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-07%2-110%2-08%0-1—0-0—1-26%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-26%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Leicester win | 52%45% · Elo 67% | 45%· Elo 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%52% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%26% | 26% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%48% | 48% |
| 2 – Doncaster win | 25%29% · Elo 14% | 29%· Elo 14% |
| X – draw | 23%27% · Elo 19% | 27%· Elo 19% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Leicester attack vs Doncaster defenceattack1483defence1496−13 pts to the attack
Doncaster attack vs Leicester defenceattack1431defence1479−48 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 7.0 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.555%61%
7.540%43%
8.528%30%
9.518%17%
Each team on its own
Leicesterwe expect 3.6, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Doncasterwe expect 3.3, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Under 18.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 18.0 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.552%56%
18.544%53%
19.536%53%
20.529%51%
Each team on its own
Leicesterwe expect 7.7, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 37%
Doncasterwe expect 10.3, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%60%
3.539%43%
4.522%23%
5.511%14%
Each team on its own
Leicesterwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Doncasterwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Leicester: newly promoted
- Leicester: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Doncaster: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leicester vs Doncaster?
Leicester are the favourites. Chances: Leicester win 52%, draw 23%, Doncaster win 25%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Doncaster?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Leicester 1.9, Doncaster 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Leicester vs Doncaster?
The chance that both teams score is 61%.
When is Leicester vs Doncaster?
The League One match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).