League OneMatchday 9

Leyton Orient 0-2 Plymouth: prediction, tips and result

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Leyton Orient
1-35-01-12-31-0
0-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Plymouth
0-14-23-03-20-2
Stadium:
Matchroom Stadium, London

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Offsides: Over 3.5Lost62%

our numbers: 4.3 offsides against a league average of 3.2; 4.4 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 3.2

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Leyton Orient: Under 3.5Won68%

    Leyton Orient: under 3.5 shots on target in 5 of their last 5 league matches, Plymouth's opponents had under 3.5 in 6 of 7 (55% of league matches); 2.2 shots on target a match, Plymouth's opponents had 2.4 on average, league average 3.7

  • Fouls – Leyton Orient: Under 8.5Won61%

    our numbers for Leyton Orient: 7.9 fouls against a league average of 9.1

For the brave
Offsides: Over 4.5Lost43%

our numbers: 4.3 offsides against a league average of 3.2; 4.4 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 3.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLeyton Orient132132%29%Draw26%27%Plymouth146142%44%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%62%O2.556%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Leyton Orient1:3PlymouthL
  2. Plymouth0:1Leyton OrientW
  3. Plymouth4:0Leyton OrientL
  4. Plymouth2:3Leyton OrientW
  5. Leyton Orient0:2PlymouthL
Leyton Orient's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)70%O2.51:1coverageleague 62% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Leyton Orient : Plymouth
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%0-27%1-0—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%0-17%0-2—1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—1-01-0—1-07%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%81%81%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals67%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes59%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%64%64%
Over 2.5 goals56%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals44%41%41%
2 – Plymouth win42%36% · Elo 44%36%· Elo 44%
Both teams to score: no41%38%38%
Over 3.5 goals33%37%37%
1 – Leyton Orient win32%39% · Elo 29%39%· Elo 29%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals20%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Leyton Orient attack vs Plymouth defenceattack1523defence1504+19 pts to the attack
Plymouth attack vs Leyton Orient defenceattack1600defence1486+114 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 6.5 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.547%62%
7.533%43%
8.521%28%
9.513%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Leyton Orientwe expect 2.8, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 32%
Plymouthwe expect 3.2, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 18.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 17.2 in this match, 18.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
17.545%57%
18.537%55%
19.530%55%
20.524%53%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Leyton Orientwe expect 7.9, league average 9.1 · chance of over 9.5: 28%
Plymouthwe expect 9.1, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 4.3 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.580%57%
3.562%40%
4.543%23%
5.527%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Leyton Orientwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Plymouthwe expect 2.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 77%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Leyton Orient

Plymouth

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Plymouth1061318:1219
12Leyton Orient932413:1111
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?

Leyton Orient 0-2 Plymouth (half time 0-0).

Did the Leyton Orient vs Plymouth tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Offsides: Over 3.5. The tip lost.

See also