League OneMatchday 7

Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Matchroom Stadium, London

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%

our numbers: 2.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won30%

under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLeyton Orient132138%37%Draw29%28%Stevenage136133%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.543%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Stevenage1:2Leyton OrientW
  2. Leyton Orient2:3StevenageL
  3. Leyton Orient1:0StevenageW
  4. Stevenage0:0Leyton OrientD
  5. Stevenage0:1Leyton OrientW
Leyton Orient's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Leyton Orient : Stevenage
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-19%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%0-10-110%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%76%76%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%58%58%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals57%54%54%
Both teams to score: no51%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals43%46%46%
1 – Leyton Orient win38%42% · Elo 37%42%· Elo 37%
2 – Stevenage win33%30% · Elo 36%30%· Elo 36%
Under 1.5 goals30%29%29%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals22%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Leyton Orient attack vs Stevenage defenceattack1521defence1595−74 pts to the attack
Stevenage attack vs Leyton Orient defenceattack1417defence1481−64 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Leyton Orient: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Leyton Orient: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Stevenage: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Stevenage833212:812
12Leyton Orient932413:1111
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage (half time 0-0).

Did the Leyton Orient vs Stevenage tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.