League OneMatchday 6

Stevenage 2-1 Luton: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
Referee:
Ben Toner

The match in numbers

1X2EloStevenage136128%31%Draw27%27%Luton145045%42%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.547%48%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Luton2:1StevenageL
  2. Stevenage2:0LutonW
  3. Stevenage1:1LutonD
  4. Luton7:1StevenageL
  5. Luton0:2StevenageW
Stevenage's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 7
RefereeB. Toner+0.2 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Stevenage : Luton
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-0—1-29%0-09%2-1—0-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-010%1-28%0-08%2-19%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-19%1-01-0—1-010%1-21-29%1-28%0-00-09%0-08%2-12-1—2-19%0-20-28%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals74%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%67%67%
Under 2.5 goals53%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes52%53%53%
Both teams to score: no48%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals47%48%48%
2 – Luton win45%33% · Elo 42%33%· Elo 42%
1 – Stevenage win28%40% · Elo 31%40%· Elo 31%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals26%27%27%
Over 3.5 goals26%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Stevenage attack vs Luton defenceattack1410defence1495−85 pts to the attack
Luton attack vs Stevenage defenceattack1569defence1594−25 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Stevenage833212:812
13Luton832316:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stevenage vs Luton?

Stevenage 2-1 Luton (half time 1-0).