League OneMatchday 10

Notts County 1-2 Oxford: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Meadow Lane, Nottingham

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloNotts County123740%18%Draw28%22%Oxford150632%60%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%55%O2.548%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Notts County2:4OxfordL
  2. Oxford3:1Notts CountyL
  3. Notts County0:0OxfordD
  4. Oxford3:0Notts CountyL
  5. Oxford2:1Notts CountyL
Notts County's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.7over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 9
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)70%X21:0coverageleague 67% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Notts County : Oxford
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-18%0-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-19%0-19%0-07%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-18%0-19%0-00-08%0-07%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals74%72%72%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes53%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals52%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals48%50%50%
Both teams to score: no47%45%45%
1 – Notts County win40%39% · Elo 18%39%· Elo 18%
2 – Oxford win32%34% · Elo 60%34%· Elo 60%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 22%27%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals26%25%25%
Over 3.5 goals26%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Notts County attack vs Oxford defenceattack1473defence1516−43 pts to the attack
Oxford attack vs Notts County defenceattack1541defence1513+28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Notts County: newly promoted
  • Oxford: newly promoted
  • Notts County: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Oxford: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Oxford742115:814
22Notts County81438:117
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Notts County vs Oxford?

Notts County 1-2 Oxford (half time 0-1).