League OneMatchday 12
Notts County vs Sheffield Weds: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.548%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Notts County1:2Sheffield WedsL
- Sheffield Weds2:1Notts CountyL
- Sheffield Weds0:1Notts CountyW
- Notts County0:2Sheffield WedsL
- Notts County0:0Sheffield WedsD
Notts County's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.7over 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Notts County : Sheffield WedsMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-07%1-29%0-18%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%1-28%0-19%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-10-18%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%65% | 65% |
| 2 – Sheffield Weds win | 38%35% · Elo 48% | 35%· Elo 48% |
| 1 – Notts County win | 35%38% · Elo 26% | 38%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
Attack vs defence
Notts County attack vs Sheffield Weds defenceattack1469defence1535−66 pts to the attack
Sheffield Weds attack vs Notts County defenceattack1529defence1507+22 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Notts County: newly promoted
- Sheffield Weds: newly promoted
- Notts County played 3 days ago
- Sheffield Weds played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sheffield Weds | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Notts County vs Sheffield Weds?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Notts County win 35%, draw 27%, Sheffield Weds win 38%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Sheffield Weds?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Notts County 1.4, Sheffield Weds 1.4). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Notts County vs Sheffield Weds?
The League One match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).