League OneMatchday 11
Wigan vs Reading: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%52%O2.557%48%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Reading3:0WiganL
- Wigan1:2ReadingL
- Wigan1:2ReadingL
- Reading2:0WiganL
- Wigan1:0ReadingW
Wigan's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.7total 3.0Attack/defence1.1 : 1.4total 2.6
Wigan : ReadingMost likely scores
Market1-112%0-18%1-29%1-0—0-27%0-0—2-17%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-29%1-08%0-28%0-08%2-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-18%0-111%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-12-17%2-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%48% | 48% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 54%56% | 56% |
| 2 – Reading win | 46%44% · Elo 45% | 44%· Elo 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%26% | 26% |
| 1 – Wigan win | 28%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Wigan attack vs Reading defenceattack1362defence1514−152 pts to the attack
Reading attack vs Wigan defenceattack1614defence1523+91 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Streaks before the match
- Wigan4 matches in a row without scoringat home: 2Went on 33%League 22%Model 28%Record 11
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wigan score only 0.5 goals per game
- Wigan: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Wigan: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Reading: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wigan vs Reading?
Reading are the favourites. Chances: Wigan win 28%, draw 26%, Reading win 46%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Wigan vs Reading?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Wigan 1.3, Reading 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Wigan vs Reading?
The chance that both teams score is 60%.
When is Wigan vs Reading?
The League One match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).