League OneMatchday 10

Stevenage 1-0 Wigan: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%

Wigan: no goal in their last 3 league matches

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won30%

Wigan: no goal in their last 3 league matches; under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStevenage136148%50%Draw28%26%Wigan127324%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%40%O2.543%34%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Stevenage1:0WiganW
  2. Wigan0:0StevenageD
  3. Stevenage1:2WiganL
  4. Wigan0:0StevenageD
  5. Wigan2:3StevenageW
Stevenage's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)67%X21:0coverageleague 67% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 0.8total 2.1
Stevenage : Wigan
Most likely scores
Market1-012%1-113%0-010%0-1—2-010%2-19%Attack/defence1-016%1-113%0-013%0-110%2-010%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-016%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-010%0-013%0-10-1—0-110%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%85%85%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%76%76%
12 – no draw72%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals70%60%60%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals57%66%66%
Both teams to score: no53%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%54%54%
1 – Stevenage win48%46% · Elo 50%46%· Elo 50%
Both teams to score: yes47%40%40%
Over 2.5 goals43%34%34%
Under 1.5 goals30%40%40%
X – draw28%30% · Elo 26%30%· Elo 26%
2 – Wigan win24%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals22%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Stevenage attack vs Wigan defenceattack1412defence1520−108 pts to the attack
Wigan attack vs Stevenage defenceattack1371defence1592−221 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wigan score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Wigan: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Stevenage: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Wigan: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Stevenage833212:812
24Wigan81165:134
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stevenage vs Wigan?

Stevenage 1-0 Wigan (half time 0-0).

Did the Stevenage vs Wigan tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.