League TwoMatchday 10

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Walsall: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost59%

over 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 8 (57% of league matches); 10.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.0 in the visitors', league average 9.9

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Lost47%

over 10.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 8 (41% of league matches); 10.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.0 in the visitors', league average 9.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFleetwood Town112041%38%Draw27%28%Walsall115132%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%48%O2.552%41%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Walsall0:1Fleetwood TownW
  2. Fleetwood Town1:1WalsallD
  3. Fleetwood Town2:0WalsallW
  4. Walsall2:6Fleetwood TownW
  5. Walsall2:0Fleetwood TownL
Fleetwood Town's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.9over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 7
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)70%X22:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Fleetwood Town : Walsall
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-17%0-0—2-19%1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-110%0-010%2-18%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-08%1-012%0-10-17%0-110%0-00-0—0-010%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%68%68%
12 – no draw73%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals70%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes57%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals52%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals48%59%59%
Both teams to score: no43%53%53%
1 – Fleetwood Town win41%39% · Elo 38%39%· Elo 38%
2 – Walsall win32%32% · Elo 34%32%· Elo 34%
Over 3.5 goals30%21%21%
X – draw27%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals23%32%32%
Attack vs defence
Fleetwood Town attack vs Walsall defenceattack1480defence1521−41 pts to the attack
Walsall attack vs Fleetwood Town defenceattack1490defence1505−15 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 7.1 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.556%61%
7.542%45%
8.529%26%
9.519%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Fleetwood Townwe expect 4.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Walsallwe expect 2.8, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 19.9 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.551%61%
20.543%57%
21.536%50%
22.530%44%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Fleetwood Townwe expect 10.5, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Walsallwe expect 9.3, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 74%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 26%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.547%58%
3.526%42%
4.512%29%
5.55%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Fleetwood Townwe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Walsallwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Walsall matches average 12.5 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Walsall: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Fleetwood Town: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Walsall: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Walsall936012:615
16Fleetwood Town1025310:1111
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Walsall?

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Walsall (half time 0-0).

Did the Fleetwood Town vs Walsall tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.