League TwoMatchday 9

Salford 1-0 Fleetwood Town: prediction, tips and result

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Salford
2-11-03-31-04-1
1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Fleetwood Town
1-21-31-12-01-1
Stadium:
Moor Lane, Salford

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Fouls – Fleetwood Town: Over 10.5Lost66%

our numbers for Fleetwood Town: 12.3 fouls against a league average of 10.2; Fleetwood Town: over 10.5 fouls in 5 of their last 7 league matches, Salford's opponents committed over 10.5 in 6 of 7 (47% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Offsides – Fleetwood Town: Under 1.5Lost60%

    our numbers for Fleetwood Town: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.8; Fleetwood Town: 0.9 offsides a match, Salford's opponents were caught offside 1.6 times on average, league average 1.8

For the brave
Fouls – Fleetwood Town: Over 12.5Lost46%

Fleetwood Town: over 12.5 fouls in 3 of their last 7 league matches, Salford's opponents committed over 12.5 in 5 of 7 (27% of league matches); our numbers for Fleetwood Town: 12.3 fouls against a league average of 10.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSalford120860%49%Draw22%26%Fleetwood Town112018%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%49%O2.557%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Salford0:0Fleetwood TownD
  2. Fleetwood Town1:1SalfordD
  3. Salford0:2Fleetwood TownL
  4. Fleetwood Town2:2SalfordD
Salford's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)68%O2.51:1coverageleague 59% · H2H 2/4not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Salford : Fleetwood Town
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-010%0-0—0-1—3-17%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-19%2-09%0-09%0-19%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-09%1-012%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-0—0-09%0-10-1—0-19%3-13-17%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals81%70%70%
12 – no draw78%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals65%77%77%
1 – Salford win60%45% · Elo 49%45%· Elo 49%
Over 2.5 goals57%44%44%
Both teams to score: yes55%49%49%
Both teams to score: no45%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals43%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%55%55%
Over 3.5 goals35%23%23%
X – draw22%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals19%30%30%
2 – Fleetwood Town win18%27% · Elo 25%27%· Elo 25%
Attack vs defence
Salford attack vs Fleetwood Town defenceattack1524defence1503+21 pts to the attack
Fleetwood Town attack vs Salford defenceattack1484defence1535−51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.560%60%
7.546%44%
8.533%25%
9.522%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Salfordwe expect 4.1, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Fleetwood Townwe expect 3.3, league average 3.2 · chance of over 3.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 21.3 in this match, 20.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.561%60%
20.554%56%
21.547%48%
22.540%43%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Salfordwe expect 9.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Fleetwood Townwe expect 12.3, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 66%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.561%60%
3.539%43%
4.522%29%
5.511%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Salfordwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Fleetwood Townwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Salford

Fleetwood Town

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Salford1061315:1019
16Fleetwood Town1025310:1111
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Salford vs Fleetwood Town?

Salford 1-0 Fleetwood Town (half time 0-0).

Did the Salford vs Fleetwood Town tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Fouls – Fleetwood Town: Over 10.5. The tip lost.

See also