League TwoMatchday 7

Grimsby 2-0 Crawley Town: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Blundell Park, Grimsby

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost64%

our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost42%

our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 6 (26% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGrimsby119268%59%Draw18%23%Crawley Town105513%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%48%O2.564%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Crawley Town0:2GrimsbyW
  2. Grimsby3:0Crawley TownW
  3. Crawley Town2:0GrimsbyL
  4. Grimsby2:3Crawley TownL
  5. Crawley Town1:1GrimsbyD
Grimsby's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Grimsby : Crawley Town
Most likely scores
Market1-08%1-19%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-08%1-013%1-11-19%1-112%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-03-08%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals85%71%71%
12 – no draw81%75%75%
1 – Grimsby win68%54% · Elo 59%54%· Elo 59%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals64%46%46%
Under 3.5 goals58%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes56%48%48%
Both teams to score: no44%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals42%24%24%
Under 2.5 goals36%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat31%46%46%
X – draw18%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals15%29%29%
2 – Crawley Town win13%20% · Elo 18%20%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Grimsby attack vs Crawley Town defenceattack1564defence1465+99 pts to the attack
Crawley Town attack vs Grimsby defenceattack1420defence1553−133 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Grimsby1034313:1113
24Crawley Town81258:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Grimsby vs Crawley Town?

Grimsby 2-0 Crawley Town (half time 2-0).

Did the Grimsby vs Crawley Town tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.