League TwoMatchday 8

Newport County 2-1 Grimsby: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Rodney Parade, Newport

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won55%

over 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (57% of league matches); 9.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.4 in the visitors', league average 9.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNewport County105024%22%Draw26%25%Grimsby119250%52%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%53%O2.551%50%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Newport County0:0GrimsbyD
  2. Grimsby2:1Newport CountyL
  3. Grimsby1:0Newport CountyL
  4. Newport County0:0GrimsbyD
  5. Grimsby1:0Newport CountyL
Newport County's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.6total 2.7Attack/defence1.1 : 1.6total 2.7
Newport County : Grimsby
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-210%0-29%0-07%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-111%1-29%0-29%0-07%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-110%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-29%0-00-07%0-07%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%74%74%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals71%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes54%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals51%50%50%
2 – Grimsby win50%48% · Elo 52%48%· Elo 52%
1X – home team avoid defeat50%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals49%50%50%
Both teams to score: no46%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals29%28%28%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
1 – Newport County win24%26% · Elo 22%26%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals23%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Newport County attack vs Grimsby defenceattack1447defence1554−107 pts to the attack
Grimsby attack vs Newport County defenceattack1575defence1395+180 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Grimsby: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Newport County: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Grimsby: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Grimsby1034313:1113
12Newport County1034313:1213
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Newport County vs Grimsby?

Newport County 2-1 Grimsby (half time 0-0).

Did the Newport County vs Grimsby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.