League TwoMatchday 11

Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 3d 8h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloShrewsbury105830%32%Draw28%28%Bristol Rvs114741%41%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%49%O2.547%43%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bristol Rvs1:0ShrewsburyL
  2. Shrewsbury0:3Bristol RvsL
  3. Shrewsbury0:0Bristol RvsD
  4. Bristol Rvs1:0ShrewsburyL
  5. Bristol Rvs0:0ShrewsburyD
Shrewsbury's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.7over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.4total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Shrewsbury : Bristol Rvs
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%1-08%0-09%1-29%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-111%1-010%0-010%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-10-110%0-111%1-01-08%1-010%0-00-09%0-010%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals75%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals73%69%69%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%63%63%
Under 2.5 goals53%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes52%49%49%
Both teams to score: no48%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals47%43%43%
2 – Bristol Rvs win41%37% · Elo 41%37%· Elo 41%
1 – Shrewsbury win30%34% · Elo 32%34%· Elo 32%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals27%31%31%
Over 3.5 goals25%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Shrewsbury attack vs Bristol Rvs defenceattack1429defence1493−64 pts to the attack
Bristol Rvs attack vs Shrewsbury defenceattack1534defence1477+57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.561%61%
7.547%45%
8.534%27%
9.523%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shrewsburywe expect 4.2, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Bristol Rvswe expect 3.3, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 21.6 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.563%61%
20.555%57%
21.548%51%
22.541%45%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shrewsburywe expect 10.9, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Bristol Rvswe expect 10.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.559%58%
3.537%41%
4.520%28%
5.510%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shrewsburywe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Bristol Rvswe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Bristol Rvs1050515:1715
18Shrewsbury103259:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs?

Bristol Rvs are the favourites. Chances: Shrewsbury win 30%, draw 28%, Bristol Rvs win 41%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs?

Expected goals: 2.6 (Shrewsbury 1.2, Bristol Rvs 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs?

The chance that both teams score is 52%.

When is Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs?

The League Two match kicks off 17 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).