League TwoMatchday 10

Shrewsbury 0-1 Exeter: prediction, tips and result

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Shrewsbury
0-22-01-12-22-1
0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Exeter
1-00-10-00-10-0
Stadium:
New Meadow, Shrewsbury

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 9 (52% of league matches); under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShrewsbury105844%24%Draw29%26%Exeter124127%50%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%44%O2.541%37%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Exeter2:0ShrewsburyL
  2. Shrewsbury0:2ExeterL
  3. Shrewsbury0:3ExeterL
  4. Exeter0:0ShrewsburyD
  5. Exeter0:0ShrewsburyD
Shrewsbury's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)67%X21:0coverageleague 69% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.1total 2.2
Shrewsbury : Exeter
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-1—1-012%0-011%2-09%2-19%1-2—0-2—Attack/defence1-114%0-112%1-012%0-012%2-0—2-1—1-28%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-10-1—0-112%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-011%0-012%2-02-09%2-0—2-12-19%2-1—1-21-2—1-28%0-20-2—0-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%63%63%
12 – no draw71%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals68%64%64%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals59%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%67%67%
Both teams to score: no53%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes47%44%44%
1 – Shrewsbury win44%33% · Elo 24%33%· Elo 24%
Over 2.5 goals41%37%37%
Under 1.5 goals32%36%36%
X – draw29%30% · Elo 26%30%· Elo 26%
2 – Exeter win27%37% · Elo 50%37%· Elo 50%
Over 3.5 goals21%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Shrewsbury attack vs Exeter defenceattack1430defence1561−131 pts to the attack
Exeter attack vs Shrewsbury defenceattack1479defence1477+2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 7.2 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.557%61%
7.543%45%
8.530%26%
9.520%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shrewsburywe expect 4.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Exeterwe expect 2.9, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 23.0 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.572%61%
20.565%57%
21.559%50%
22.552%44%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shrewsburywe expect 12.7, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 70%
Exeterwe expect 10.6, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.562%58%
3.540%42%
4.523%29%
5.511%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shrewsburywe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Exeterwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Exeter: newly promoted
  • Shrewsbury: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Exeter: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Shrewsbury

Exeter

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Exeter103346:612
18Shrewsbury103259:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shrewsbury vs Exeter?

Shrewsbury 0-1 Exeter (half time 0-0).

Did the Shrewsbury vs Exeter tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also