League TwoMatchday 9

Crewe 3-1 Bristol Rvs: prediction, tips and result

·

Crewe
2-21-11-11-11-1
3-1Full time(half time 2-0)
Bristol Rvs
1-00-30-21-02-0
Stadium:
Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Bristol Rvs: Over 3.5Lost59%

Bristol Rvs: 5.5 shots on target a match, Crewe's opponents had 4.4 on average, league average 3.2; our numbers for Bristol Rvs: 4.2 shots on target against a league average of 3.2

Other tips

  • Offsides – Bristol Rvs: Under 1.5Won62%

    our numbers for Bristol Rvs: 1.3 offsides against a league average of 1.8; Bristol Rvs: 1.5 offsides a match, Crewe's opponents were caught offside 0.7 times on average, league average 1.8

For the brave
Shots on Target – Bristol Rvs: Over 4.5Lost41%

Bristol Rvs: 5.5 shots on target a match, Crewe's opponents had 4.4 on average, league average 3.2; our numbers for Bristol Rvs: 4.2 shots on target against a league average of 3.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCrewe116735%39%Draw28%28%Bristol Rvs114737%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%51%O2.553%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bristol Rvs2:1CreweL
  2. Crewe1:1Bristol RvsD
  3. Bristol Rvs0:1CreweW
  4. Crewe3:2Bristol RvsW
  5. Crewe3:0Bristol RvsW
Crewe's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 8
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)67%1X1:2coverageleague 77% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Crewe : Bristol Rvs
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-18%0-0—2-18%1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%0-10-18%0-110%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%70%70%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals70%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes57%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals53%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals47%55%55%
Both teams to score: no43%50%50%
2 – Bristol Rvs win37%33% · Elo 33%33%· Elo 33%
1 – Crewe win35%39% · Elo 39%39%· Elo 39%
Over 3.5 goals30%23%23%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals22%30%30%
Attack vs defence
Crewe attack vs Bristol Rvs defenceattack1488defence1509−21 pts to the attack
Bristol Rvs attack vs Crewe defenceattack1540defence1521+19 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 7.7 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.564%60%
7.550%44%
8.537%25%
9.525%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crewewe expect 3.5, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 27%
Bristol Rvswe expect 4.2, league average 3.2 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 20.3 in this match, 20.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.553%60%
20.546%56%
21.539%48%
22.532%43%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crewewe expect 10.0, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Bristol Rvswe expect 10.2, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%60%
3.544%43%
4.526%29%
5.513%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crewewe expect 2.0, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Bristol Rvswe expect 1.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 38%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Crewe: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Crewe: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Crewe score a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Crewe: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bristol Rvs: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Crewe

Bristol Rvs

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Crewe1046012:718
9Bristol Rvs1050515:1715
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Crewe vs Bristol Rvs?

Crewe 3-1 Bristol Rvs (half time 2-0).

Did the Crewe vs Bristol Rvs tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Bristol Rvs: Over 3.5. The tip lost.

See also