League TwoMatchday 6

Colchester 1-1 Crewe: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost57%

our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost35%

our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloColchester114445%42%Draw26%28%Crewe116729%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%48%O2.557%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Crewe1:0ColchesterL
  2. Colchester1:1CreweD
  3. Colchester0:0CreweD
  4. Crewe0:0ColchesterD
  5. Colchester1:1CreweD
Colchester's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 4
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 1
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.4
Colchester : Crewe
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%0-0—0-1—2-19%2-07%1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-19%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-012%0-00-0—0-010%0-10-1—0-110%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%68%68%
12 – no draw74%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals65%79%79%
Both teams to score: yes60%48%48%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals57%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%57%57%
1 – Colchester win45%43% · Elo 42%43%· Elo 42%
Under 2.5 goals43%58%58%
Both teams to score: no40%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals35%21%21%
2 – Crewe win29%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
X – draw26%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%32%32%
Attack vs defence
Colchester attack vs Crewe defenceattack1499defence1525−26 pts to the attack
Crewe attack vs Colchester defenceattack1490defence1549−59 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Crewe1046012:718
19Colchester924310:1310
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Colchester vs Crewe?

Colchester 1-1 Crewe (half time 1-0).

Did the Colchester vs Crewe tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.