League TwoMatchday 11
Tranmere vs Barnet: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%58%O2.557%56%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.7
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Barnet1:0TranmereL
- Tranmere0:2BarnetL
Tranmere's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses1.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.7total 3.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.7total 2.9
Tranmere : BarnetMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%0-18%0-27%2-17%1-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-19%0-28%2-17%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%1-21-29%1-210%0-10-18%0-19%0-20-27%0-28%2-12-17%2-17%1-01-0—1-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 53%51% | 51% |
| 2 – Barnet win | 47%49% · Elo 52% | 49%· Elo 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%34% | 34% |
| 1 – Tranmere win | 27%26% · Elo 23% | 26%· Elo 23% |
| X – draw | 26%24% · Elo 25% | 24%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Tranmere attack vs Barnet defenceattack1460defence1507−47 pts to the attack
Barnet attack vs Tranmere defenceattack1635defence1393+242 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.560%61%
7.546%45%
8.533%27%
9.522%17%
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 4.2, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Barnetwe expect 3.2, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 22.6 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.569%61%
20.562%57%
21.555%51%
22.548%45%
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 11.2, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Barnetwe expect 11.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.570%58%
3.549%41%
4.531%28%
5.517%11%
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Barnetwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Barnet14 matches in a row with BTTSaway: 92nd longest in the league since 2003/04Went on 61%League 53%Model 59%
- Barnet17 matches unbeatenaway: 9Went on 83%League 52%Model 73%Record 28
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Barnet score 2.8 goals per game
- Barnet: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Barnet: unbeaten in 17 matches
- Barnet: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Tranmere concede a lot late on: 11 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Tranmere: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Barnet: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tranmere vs Barnet?
Barnet are the favourites. Chances: Tranmere win 27%, draw 26%, Barnet win 47%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Tranmere vs Barnet?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Tranmere 1.3, Barnet 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Tranmere vs Barnet?
The chance that both teams score is 59%.
When is Tranmere vs Barnet?
The League Two match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).