League TwoMatchday 10
Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%51%O2.549%46%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rochdale2:2TranmereD
- Tranmere1:1RochdaleD
- Tranmere2:0RochdaleW
- Rochdale1:0TranmereL
- Tranmere2:3RochdaleL
Tranmere's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6under 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)65%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 63% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Tranmere : RochdaleMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-1—1-010%2-19%2-09%0-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-09%2-17%2-0—0-09%1-29%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-1—0-111%1-01-010%1-09%2-12-19%2-17%2-02-09%2-0—0-00-08%0-09%1-21-2—1-29%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Tranmere win | 48%32% · Elo 38% | 32%· Elo 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%49% | 49% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%24% | 24% |
| 2 – Rochdale win | 26%40% · Elo 34% | 40%· Elo 34% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Tranmere attack vs Rochdale defenceattack1459defence1532−73 pts to the attack
Rochdale attack vs Tranmere defenceattack1486defence1391+95 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 7.0 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.555%61%
7.541%45%
8.528%26%
9.518%18%
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 3.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Rochdalewe expect 2.9, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 19.6 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.549%61%
20.541%57%
21.534%50%
22.528%44%
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 9.6, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Rochdalewe expect 9.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%58%
3.544%42%
4.526%29%
5.514%12%
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Rochdalewe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rochdale: newly promoted
- Tranmere: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Rochdale: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tranmere vs Rochdale?
Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale (half time 1-0).