League TwoMatchday 10

Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Prenton Park, Birkenhead

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloTranmere104448%38%Draw27%28%Rochdale107126%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%51%O2.549%46%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Rochdale2:2TranmereD
  2. Tranmere1:1RochdaleD
  3. Tranmere2:0RochdaleW
  4. Rochdale1:0TranmereL
  5. Tranmere2:3RochdaleL
Tranmere's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6under 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Tranmere : Rochdale
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-1—1-010%2-19%2-09%0-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-09%2-17%2-0—0-09%1-29%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-1—0-111%1-01-010%1-09%2-12-19%2-17%2-02-09%2-0—0-00-08%0-09%1-21-2—1-29%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat75%60%60%
Over 1.5 goals75%71%71%
12 – no draw74%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals73%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes53%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals51%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals49%46%46%
1 – Tranmere win48%32% · Elo 38%32%· Elo 38%
Both teams to score: no47%49%49%
X – draw27%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals27%24%24%
2 – Rochdale win26%40% · Elo 34%40%· Elo 34%
Under 1.5 goals25%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Tranmere attack vs Rochdale defenceattack1459defence1532−73 pts to the attack
Rochdale attack vs Tranmere defenceattack1486defence1391+95 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 7.0 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.555%61%
7.541%45%
8.528%26%
9.518%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 3.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Rochdalewe expect 2.9, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 19.6 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.549%61%
20.541%57%
21.534%50%
22.528%44%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 9.6, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Rochdalewe expect 9.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.566%58%
3.544%42%
4.526%29%
5.514%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tranmerewe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Rochdalewe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rochdale: newly promoted
  • Tranmere: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Rochdale: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Rochdale1042411:1214
13Tranmere1026213:1312
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tranmere vs Rochdale?

Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale (half time 1-0).