League TwoMatchday 8

York 3-0 Gillingham: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
York`s LNER Community Stadium, York

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won60%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 9.5Lost56%

    over 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (57% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost37%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloYork111353%42%Draw24%28%Gillingham110223%31%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%51%O2.560%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. York0:0GillinghamD
  2. Gillingham1:1YorkD
York's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8under 4.5: 69%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
York : Gillingham
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-08%1-012%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-010%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%77%77%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals63%73%73%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals60%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes60%51%51%
1 – York win53%52% · Elo 42%52%· Elo 42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals40%52%52%
Both teams to score: no40%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals37%27%27%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
2 – Gillingham win23%23% · Elo 31%23%· Elo 31%
Under 1.5 goals18%27%27%
Attack vs defence
York attack vs Gillingham defenceattack1551defence1448+103 pts to the attack
Gillingham attack vs York defenceattack1447defence1519−72 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • York: newly promoted
  • York: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gillingham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Gillingham1044215:1016
5York943217:1115
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of York vs Gillingham?

York 3-0 Gillingham (half time 1-0).

Did the York vs Gillingham tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.