Premier LeagueMatchday 6

Man United 1-1 Tottenham: prediction, tips and result

·

Man United
0-25-22-20-11-1
1-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Tottenham
2-30-00-00-20-3
Stadium:
Old Trafford, Manchester
Referee:
Stuart Attwell

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Over 3.5Won63%

referee Stuart Attwell averages 5.0 yellow cards a match, league average 3.8

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 9.5Lost56%

    over 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (55% of league matches); 11.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.2 in the visitors', league average 9.9

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost64%

    our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

  • Fouls: Over 20.5Won59%

    our numbers: 22.1 fouls against a league average of 21.0

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Over 4.5Won44%

referee Stuart Attwell averages 5.0 yellow cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 4.4 yellow cards against a league average of 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMan United208655%56%Draw23%24%Tottenham196423%20%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%57%O2.564%58%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Man United2:0TottenhamW
  2. Tottenham2:2Man UnitedD
  3. Tottenham1:0Man UnitedL
  4. Tottenham1:0Man UnitedL
  5. Man United0:3TottenhamL
Man United's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 3.8over 3.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 7
RefereeS. Attwell+1.1 yellow cards vs average28 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)75%O2.51:1coverageleague 68% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.3total 3.3Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Man United : Tottenham
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%2-08%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%3-16%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-08%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%79%79%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals64%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes63%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals58%64%64%
1 – Man United win55%56% · Elo 56%56%· Elo 56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals42%36%36%
Both teams to score: no37%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals36%42%42%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
2 – Tottenham win23%21% · Elo 20%21%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals15%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Man United attack vs Tottenham defenceattack1582defence1450+132 pts to the attack
Tottenham attack vs Man United defenceattack1454defence1527−73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.554%57%
8.541%45%
9.529%32%
10.519%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Man Unitedwe expect 4.4, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Tottenhamwe expect 3.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 22.1 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.559%52%
21.552%46%
22.545%37%
23.538%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Man Unitedwe expect 10.3, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Tottenhamwe expect 11.3, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Referee: 22.1 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)+0.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.564%63%
3.542%43%
4.524%23%
5.512%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Man Unitedwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Tottenhamwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 48%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Man United

Tottenham

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Man United61329:96
19Tottenham60333:93
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Man United vs Tottenham?

Man United 1-1 Tottenham (half time 0-0).

Did the Man United vs Tottenham tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.

See also