Premier LeagueMatchday 5

Tottenham 2-3 Aston Villa: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Referee:
Samuel Barrott

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTottenham196450%27%Draw25%27%Aston Villa211225%46%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%55%O2.559%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aston Villa1:2TottenhamW
  2. Tottenham1:2Aston VillaL
  3. Aston Villa2:0TottenhamL
  4. Tottenham4:1Aston VillaW
  5. Aston Villa0:4TottenhamW
Tottenham's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.9over 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 3
RefereeS. Barrott−0.1 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Tottenham : Aston Villa
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%0-1—1-27%2-08%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%2-19%1-09%0-19%1-28%2-0—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-02-08%2-0—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%65%65%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals63%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes61%55%55%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals59%51%51%
1 – Tottenham win50%38% · Elo 27%38%· Elo 27%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%62%62%
Under 2.5 goals41%49%49%
Both teams to score: no39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals37%28%28%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
2 – Aston Villa win25%35% · Elo 46%35%· Elo 46%
Under 1.5 goals18%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Tottenham attack vs Aston Villa defenceattack1451defence1499−48 pts to the attack
Aston Villa attack vs Tottenham defenceattack1485defence1460+25 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Aston Villa61236:115
19Tottenham60333:93
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

Tottenham 2-3 Aston Villa (half time 0-1).

Did the Tottenham vs Aston Villa tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.