TPS 0-1 Jaro: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Veritas Stadium, Turku
Referee:
Joni Hyytia

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloTPS133544%53%Draw27%25%Jaro125029%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%48%O2.552%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. TPS3:2JaroW
  2. Jaro2:2TPSD
  3. TPS4:0JaroW
  4. Jaro1:1TPSD
  5. TPS2:2JaroD
TPS's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 3.6over 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 6
RefereeJ. Hyytia+0.9 yellow cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
TPS : Jaro
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%0-07%0-1—2-19%2-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-19%2-19%2-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-012%0-00-07%0-010%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%68%68%
12 – no draw73%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals70%78%78%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes56%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals52%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals48%58%58%
1 – TPS win44%44% · Elo 53%44%· Elo 53%
Both teams to score: no44%53%53%
Over 3.5 goals30%22%22%
2 – Jaro win29%27% · Elo 22%27%· Elo 22%
X – draw27%28% · Elo 25%28%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals23%32%32%
Attack vs defence
TPS attack vs Jaro defenceattack1415defence1421−6 pts to the attack
Jaro attack vs TPS defenceattack1404defence1483−79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.555%61%
8.542%49%
9.530%39%
10.520%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
TPSwe expect 4.1, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Jarowe expect 3.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 77%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 23%over
We expect 24.1 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.582%59%
19.577%52%
20.571%44%
21.565%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
TPSwe expect 10.5, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 58%
Jarowe expect 11.7, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 71%
Referee: 20.9 fouls per match on average (21 matches in our data)+4.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 72%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 28%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.550%59%
3.528%36%
4.514%23%
5.56%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
TPSwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Jarowe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 31%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jaro score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Jaro: no win in 8 matches
  • TPS: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Jaro: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3TPS26881028:2832
5Jaro26481421:4820
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of TPS vs Jaro?

TPS 0-1 Jaro (half time 0-0).